Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.351693 1.531905 1.729208 1.961577 2.228175 2.524959 2.881053
2025-12-07 1.089512 1.328881 1.612477 1.974557 2.426430 2.974177 3.692119
2025-12-14 0.896100 1.158665 1.489995 1.941560 2.545242 3.330421 4.438732
2025-12-21 0.748994 1.016041 1.371039 1.881930 2.605636 3.604992 5.108383
2025-12-28 0.683020 0.967009 1.362538 1.960418 2.853158 4.155534 6.233889
2026-01-04 0.624682 0.918237 1.344225 2.016857 3.069664 4.683494 7.400905
2026-01-11 0.573761 0.872205 1.321563 2.059645 3.265522 5.199802 8.622507
2026-01-18 0.527228 0.826203 1.291680 2.084280 3.431256 5.684421 9.860037
2026-01-25 0.475756 0.765963 1.231474 2.050144 3.491710 5.996575 10.838799
2026-02-01 0.421070 0.694305 1.144336 1.958868 3.439455 6.101661 11.448562
2026-02-08 0.380539 0.641942 1.083516 1.905138 3.445138 6.307633 12.275375
2026-02-15 0.347487 0.598985 1.034153 1.865480 3.470136 6.549636 13.205930
2026-02-22 0.333821 0.589964 1.045667 1.943324 3.736540 7.309474 15.369154
2026-03-01 0.314006 0.567950 1.031594 1.971465 3.910602 7.913734 17.318141
2026-03-08 0.289146 0.534078 0.991905 1.944576 3.969110 8.287211 18.820518
2026-03-15 0.263410 0.495993 0.940230 1.887197 3.955492 8.502992 19.993507
2026-03-22 0.255591 0.491808 0.954116 1.966909 4.248989 9.443802 23.112408
2026-03-29 0.245878 0.482828 0.957314 2.023959 4.499451 10.324094 26.256778
2026-04-05 0.235534 0.471506 0.954427 2.067078 4.723451 11.175863 29.501870
2026-04-12 0.224347 0.457332 0.944039 2.091877 4.907053 11.956507 32.715244
2026-04-19 0.209118 0.433187 0.909868 2.057632 4.941130 12.361405 34.935928
2026-04-26 0.190703 0.400559 0.854100 1.966007 4.818562 12.336510 35.872733
2026-05-03 0.176793 0.376659 0.815658 1.912068 4.786386 12.551373 37.596775